Global trade disputes are nothing new, as can be seen in the below figure that shows complaints lodged with the WTO since its formation 23 years ago, in 1995. Historically, most disputes were able to be resolved within 15 months, and the party lodging the complaint usually wins.
However, the United States recently decided to adopt a vastly different approach in an attempt to resolve the trade imbalances and disputes by imposing additional tariffs on some of its trading partners including the European Union, Canada, Mexico, and China. The head of the National Foreign Trade Council and a former negotiator, Rufus Yerxa, likened that to “throwing out the rule book on trade.” He said, “I’ve been dealing with this stuff for four decades and I’ve never seen anything like this.”
Not surprisingly, this move by America has been met with immediate countermeasures from its trading partners. And these tit-for-tat increases between the United States and the other countries essentially marked the start of a trade war. Although the scale of the trade war is still currently relatively small, it has been met with criticisms from governments and businesses all over the world, including US businesses and farmers.
In this ASIA INSIGHTS, we will take a look at how the trade war came about, and what that means for China’s economy and its real estate market.